Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Hands of Time |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thunder Roll |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hands of Time |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sounds Like a Plan |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aviator Gui |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cyclone State |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Boss |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dragoneer |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bolt to Run |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Battle Drum (FR) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Ennis Town |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Damage |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chris’s Revenge |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
10 |
Man of Mischief |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
11 |
Ready Set Twirl |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Western Wolf |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Tino in Toga |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shoot the Nickel |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
1A |
9 |
Valid Connection |
12.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
11 |
12 |
Monomoys Partner |
20.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
1 |
7 |
Wrap and Send |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
7 |
6 |
America’s Honor |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
10 |
Street Jam |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Roman Goddess |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mim |
30.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Book of Wisdom |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Balenciaga Betty |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Backstretch Rose |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Progeny |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dolce Sera |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Karen’s Honor |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
3 |
Belle of the Ball |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Woodward S.) – Woodward S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tapit Trice |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crupi |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Skippylongstocking |
0.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Masqueparade |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kay Army (CHI) |
99.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Neural Network |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mighty Atlas |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shadow Dragon |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Chase |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Two’s a Crowd |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leftembehind |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wild Banker |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Engineer Empire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Emmanuel |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Far Bridge |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
War Like Goddess |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Get Smokin |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Knott (GB) |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daunt |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Truly Quality |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Teca |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nilo’s Rose |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frankie Hiccups |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shadyside |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Melle Mel |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Linda’s Jewel |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gaga’s Hamsome |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carol Said No |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dancing Dakotah |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ravenite |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mi Bella Genio |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Nina Kay |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graceful Warrior |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silsbee |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
I Heard Somethings |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Higher Force |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run Don’t Walk |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Disco Star |
2.50 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss C Banker |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pawtucketshuffle |
12.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fire Agate |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Dua Ibit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Shock |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Vehemente |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lakeside |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Blakely’s Wish |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Alpine Giant |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Vosburgh S.) – Vosburgh S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mufasa (CHI) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Baby Yoda |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scotland |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dean Delivers |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mufasa (CHI) |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seven’s Eleven |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Yoda |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Miles |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Comedy Town |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Create Trouble |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Magical Ways |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
15 |
15 |
Floki’s Flight |
1.80 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wonderful Justice (GB) |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
16 |
16 |
O P Firecracker |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Assume Nothing |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tidal Forces |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Ruse |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Drakon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Irish Prophet |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Classic Legacy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Trail |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Wine Collector |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Lincoln Hawk (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Irwin (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Beuys (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Pilgrim S.) – Pilgrim S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Noble Confessor |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Without Caution |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Breeze |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Early Adopter (GB) |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fully Authorized |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flying Mohawk |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Concord Green |
4.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zulu Kingdom (IRE) |
1.60 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Prairie Dunes |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Guile |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magical Road |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Taparino |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hours in a Day |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ramesses |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Beach Blanket |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Counter Attack |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
That’sthefactjack |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mighty Glory |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lcgolucky |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yingle Bells |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.