Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Back to Gridlock |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fashion Victim |
1.20 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Refuse to Lose |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Citational |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Magic Wand |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cowgirl Charm |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
13 |
Inflation Nation (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Baie Longue |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
13 |
12 |
Raging |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Teta’s Trotter |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Musical Maestro |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Irish Tenor |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Typhoon Fury |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Forward Move |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Conniving |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Muazarah |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Royal King |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Buckortwo |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Camm’ Duke |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
16 |
Aaraj |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Korrongo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Try Harder |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Squire Creek |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dot’s Dollar |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
President Z |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Synthesis |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Master of Arms |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Secret Rules |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Giroovin |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dangerous Ride |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
Judge Rules |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Charming Jim |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sweet Tone |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Makeyourmoment |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cattani |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Tony O |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Rohan |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Feline Treasure |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Can’t Stand Disco |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Landauer |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dr. Darby |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Purest Performance |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
Neptune Beach |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Alexis Zorba (GB) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cigarette Boat |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Final Verdict |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toxic Gray |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancing Rinca |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rough Draft |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vinsanity |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bezos |
50.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Daufuskie Island |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Leddy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tivy |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Light the Way |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Notah |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Backside Buzz |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sovereignty |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Praetor |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pirandello |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burn Notice |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classicist |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Laird of Magnolia |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freaky |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Spurgeon |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Nolita |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brown Suga Babe |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chasing Daylight |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss City Girl |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Enfuega |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Five to Two |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shehanah |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Ny Go |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Jerry the Nipper |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
City Man |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hush of a Storm |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saratoga Flash |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dakota Gold |
1.80 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kaz Sugar Bank |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cable Ready |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Olympic Dreams |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Cicciobello |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Pandagate |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
On a Summer Day |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Il Suo Oro |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mezcalifornia |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mitoleta |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Soul Secret |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Acousticat |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Katerina Ristova |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lotus Petal |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Portrait of Addie |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bourbon Blanket |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Olivia’s Wish |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Early On |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
15 |
Paraiba Blue |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Thunder Princess |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
16 |
Teca |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Someone |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.