Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | John’s Promise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Positively Awesome | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jarlian | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baltasar | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Forecast | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mundo Mix | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notion to Tapit | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Nessroundonkern | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nohai | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vanaka | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kaiulani | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Effort | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Making Bread | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emma Bella Max | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doin’ittherightway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Mac Quhae | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Hollywood | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Launch | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greyzer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dominguez | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bounteous | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Sand Rider | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Final Opportunity | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ship Master | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walker’s Gap | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Merging Traffic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Icandothat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mungo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miztergrandcentral | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Answer the Call | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pudd’n N Pie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beatiful Karla | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prize Debate | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Levisa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Delta Charm | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Style to Follow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Contemplation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luca Il Cavallo | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Be Honest | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spin It | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Pete’s Passion | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win and Be Happy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Highwayman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Thirty West | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pops Harper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wizardofez | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atomic Tone | 1.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Roo Roo | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willow Creek Road | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Berrier | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Electric Eel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Easter Bet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sway’sinmydna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wemby | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Travis | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Tiger | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Pass Time | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Bey | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have No Regrets | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.