Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Master Aragorn 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Crimson Nights 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Not a Lost Cause 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Souper Cop 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mitole Power 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Just On Time 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dryden 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sehr Schoen 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Paradise Perfect 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Its Just Money 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Happy Quad 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Clive Cross 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Demba 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Big Lew 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Contrivance 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Reason to Dream 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Summer Commander 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Glasweigian 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Dream Jereem 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Fifty B M G 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ready to Collect 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Criminal Intent 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tutti Contenti 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lumberyard 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Highland Blue 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Fracen Macho 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Speedeeman 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Bee Me 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Pin Boy 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 May and June 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zone Control 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Good to Be Lucky 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Three O Eight 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Dark Thoughts 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Egbert Justice 5.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Bourbononaholiday 4.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Bet On White 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Heard a Ghost 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Souper Dormy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bold Reload 10.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Warp Ride 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Retained 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tiz Romantic 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Mad Dog N Joe 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Galvaston 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Small Talk 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Guns n’ Rojas 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Masseto (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Rock to Fame 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Air Combat 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pine Knoll 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bankingonamiracle 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sooner Lunar 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Daddy Send Money 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Silent Reserve 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Light the Lamp 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Scoot Daddy 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Red River Rebel 1.80 2.8 5-1
6 6 Poulin in O T 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Crumlin Lad 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Rat Portage 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roi Soleil 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Have It My Way 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Rapid Grey 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Western Whirl 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 King Elvis 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Roar of the Crowd 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coherence 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fairway to Heaven 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 If You Insist 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Fast and Ready 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ry Pie 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Canadian Avro 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Today 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Secret Storm 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Very Debonaire 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Take Charge Sousi 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.