Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lansdowne (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizlightning | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debt Monger | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Project Leader | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trotsky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Hit Me Bash | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brunchandcrunch | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mendelssohnszapper | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Palisades | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who Is Pavel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Marcus | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Syntactic | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sippin Whiskey | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | What a Dude | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Harbor Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Craze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Baby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect D | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Rascal | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfecto Amor | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tahoe Secrets | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shashashakemeup | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pax a Punch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valentines Candy | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskeyinateacup | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Dillon | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Far Western | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’za Ten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thirsty | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Problem Solver | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Regret | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Maddox | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Spring | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Bring Crazy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Rules | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Quality | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Tip | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Flying Gracie | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Girvin | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Ruler | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hallelujah High | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Motet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Muy Muy | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ebok’s Dream Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Caramie | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candyinthemorning | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Girl | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shop Till You Drop | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C’Mon Lets Switch | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hondo Crouch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Littlebrotherjoey | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | New York Dreams (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Crusader | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elegant Boy | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokem Ez | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Invincible | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Capacity | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jarama | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.