Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Love to Eat 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Little Josie Wales 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Meliponini Bee 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Molly of Stratford 15.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Faith and Liberty 1.80 6.5 12-1
7 7 Hazelmoor Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Instparty 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Levisa 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Cora’s Choice 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Nuwanda 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Attached 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mollie Tapper 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Harmonizing 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bunny Hop 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ecliptical Zip 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Flashy Dude 1.60 1.8 3-1
7 7 Fear Nothing 1.40 3.4 6-1
5 5 Risk and Regret 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Lucky Day 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Blackthorne Brusca 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Caped Crusader 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fondre 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Mosler 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Determined Blue 20.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Carolina Sun 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Kapatude 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 White Heat 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Any Fools Gold 12.00 6 11-1
13 13 Police Woman 30.00 6 11-1
10 10 Sunny Sunshine 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Wait for Tomorrow 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Monster Summer 15.00 8.7 16-1
15 15 Lenamagnetta 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Concrete Faze 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Romantic Story 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Afterneath 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Call the Question 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midsummers Eve 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hateful 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bailintin 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Stormy Midnight 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Hot Dance 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Vino From Ernies 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 E B Zoom Baby 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 How Sweet She Is 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lake Superior 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mile High Miracle 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Pilote Comete 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Jasiel 30.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Beaver State 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Virginia City 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Superlastingsecret 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mine the Gold 2.50 8 15-1
10 10 Burden of Proof 4.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Lord of Mischief 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Natty Bumppo 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheilahs Warcloud 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Overly Dramatic 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Old Bay 12.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Summer Odds 10.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Go Sherry Go 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Kilo Road 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Buckin’ Lucky 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Sultry Sally H 30.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Lovely Charm 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Countryclub Couple 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Band Camp 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Storm the Court 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Tee At One 6.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Goodbye Note 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Search Engine 2.50 6.3 12-1
11 11 Matta 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 No One to Blame 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Uninvited Guest 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Wow Whata Summer 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Possiblemente 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 St. John’s 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Smooth Flyin Mike 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prowling Tiger 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Eldest Son 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Assume Nothing 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ruddy Buddy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Weather Vane S.) – Weather Vane S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Youalmosthadme 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Carmelina 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Discreet Ops 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Irish Maxima 10.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Vincey Girl 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Roanan Goddess 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Yellow Feathers 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Brookmesa 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Cap Classique 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Runaway Diva 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Dewey Doit 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Popover Gal 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miss Harriett 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Twixt S.) – Twixt S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mystic Pleasure 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Princess Indy 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Continentalcongres 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Reclusive 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Miss New York 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Saddle Up Jessie 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Justify 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Bond’s Belle 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Lance’s Smile 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Style and Profile 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Sippin’ Time 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Stormy Irish Lass 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Zippy Do Da Day 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Sweet Honey Bee 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Storm Creed 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Heavenly Ciella 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 5 Bearly Working 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.