Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seattle Down Under 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Trinity Park 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Profesorridesagain 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Perfect Play 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Good Soldier 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Snookered 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Commander At Sea 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Boss 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Whiskey N Ice 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Linda’s Opal 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Genius of Love 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Social Dancer 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tentomidnight 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Bositania 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Scotty’s Love Chil 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Midsummer Mo 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Catch the Drift 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Cloud Rider 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Coffee Crisp 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Pretty Good Joke 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lillz Star 30.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lastmambo in Paris 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dialedinwitha D 0 0-1
11 11 Our Lady Peace 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Dancing in Rio 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Ami’s Cry 12.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Crystal Water 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Imperial Trick 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Dialedinwitha D 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 No Malarkey 20.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Stormy Raleigh 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss in Red 20.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Enchanted Forest 8.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 Super Shaman 15.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Someday Girl 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Veery 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Forest Drift 2.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gloriannia 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Livin On Luv 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Princessofthenorth 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Souper Pecan 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Crumlin Beast 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vandoo 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hot Cargo 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ol’ Blondie 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Retail Therapist 6.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Sassy Melissa 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Echo Seven 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Flowers ‘n Berries 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Spider Belle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Two Sip Sally 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Friends for Life 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Super Sicily 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Victoria Elizabeth 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Red Mood 3.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Liam’s Awesome 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Momunnyfor Ro 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Kikitsa 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Howl 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 A Game 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Verdejo 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Red Samurai 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Jokes Up 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Luz de La Luna 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 I’m Into Mischief 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Zadracarta S.) – Zadracarta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dancing Duchess 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Olivia Rose 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Zana 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Cara Cara 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sacred Dancer 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Indian Music 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Owen’s Tour Guide 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Saucy Name 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vrana (IRE) 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 World Showcase 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mardene 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Unheard 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Silent Passion 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Secret Butterfly 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Trustmydaddyissues 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Flattering Look 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Laughing Out Loud 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.