Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | La Bukana | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Wings | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace On Grace | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Single Again | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Streaking | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Co Heart | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madame Markievicz | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ton a Laughs | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Splotch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lovebug | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Honeybeebobbie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiffany Twist | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divinely Bolt | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump Into the Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Seller | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie’s Halo | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Klimt’s Muse | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Payne | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackman | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sogno Di Campione (CHI) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Background | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J. P. Race | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friar Laurence | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Splash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ervadean | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charriere | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Becca | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Olga | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Altered Shot | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Starlet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Madison | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heavenville | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stiglets | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ortho Star | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speechless | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Limited Edition | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Knock Knock Joke | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scotch Chocolate | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hasten | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Fortune | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Walk | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash the Money | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rothko | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Start to Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Texas Town | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justifreak | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alder | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Trea | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Giant Leap | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shirl’s Bee | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Zone | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caper’s Hooley | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bourbon Flight S.) – Bourbon Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Batten Down | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elephants Ear | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Macho | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hades | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Level | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mugatu | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fasig-tipton Dogwood S.) – Fasig-tipton Dogwood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Mane Squeeze | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neom Beach | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uphill Dance | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fibber | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manama Gold | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Flame | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halina’s Forte | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Legadema | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cap Classique | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Harrods Creek S.) – Harrods Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jefferson Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Illuminare | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Candy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henro | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dilger (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alwaysintomischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Seneca Overnight S.) – Seneca Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Justify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chatalas | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Home Game | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Jamie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Icon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Life Talk | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midshipman’s Dance | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Here’s the Spider | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Be Quiet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alpine Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Everland | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Move | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Letstalkaboutme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cruise Missile | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Purple | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Pertinent | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Coed | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sang | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Undercover | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milven | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dancing Princess | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palmilla’s Bet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Captive Heart | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taka | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Barbanera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Uno Le | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flat Stormin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Performability | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.