Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rookie Card | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tracking Error | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fun to Tap | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comes a Time | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fever Night | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Au Contraire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bestfriend Rocket | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Twenty Six Black | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Anaconda | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Steady On | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Biz Biz Buzz | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Heaven Street | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Alpine Thunder | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Straight Arrow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Vacation Dance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Commerce Comet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Emerald Forest | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thank You Jon | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Afternoon Heat | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bronx Bomber | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gangly | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Always Charming | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Bourbon Calling | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sagamore Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brigade Commander | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Effect | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Chrome | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unstable Prince | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strapped | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emirates Road | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Joker | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobby M’s Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Autumn | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallant Greta | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancin Jane | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bomb Squad | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In All My Dreams | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luna Patina | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Natural | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alittlebitnaughty | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizallmine | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Capital Spending | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Empire Magic | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beary Funny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paynter’s Prodigy | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Mon | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chalky Cat | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Road | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | October Bliss | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | York Tavern | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Assertive Attitude | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Love Cara | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irie Man | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corvus | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Probability | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenny Be | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Have a Cigar | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Liberty Rising | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caddiemaster | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man in Finance | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Bain | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunday Gilt | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Magic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revivalism | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Skytown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Twohonestmischief | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hang On Fortheride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Daytona Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hit the Post | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Club | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Towns (GB) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breath Away (GB) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Mile (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poca Mucha | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elounda Queen (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Signal From Noise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saffron Moon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Edict (ARG) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Out too Late (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shop Lifting | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Montego Bay | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Strife | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Quality (GB) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fundamentally | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wudhooh | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Coif | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Await | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Executive Sweet | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Fashion Victim | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chardan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Key Point | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Printrack | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reynolds Channel | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | General Banker | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reddington | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Timing | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chileno | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | J D Factor | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kyser | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiery Heart | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Classify | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Escalation Clause | 8.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D Day Sky | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Courtly Banker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rabaja | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fake Celebrity | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ez Roll | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Freud | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B D Saints | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blame It On Daddy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tomacon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Grant | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Within View | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Lister | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Slapintheface | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Willintoriskitall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Russian Realm | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wine Responsibly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.