Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hit That Review (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Replevin 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lucas’s Mischief 12.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Man Magoo 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Nod to Tran 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Devil of Ramadi 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Tiz Dashing 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Midnight Vengeance 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Policy Change 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Social Hour 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Battle of Normandy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Pioneering Spirit 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Utah Beach 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Kubrick (IRE) 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Highestdistinction 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Andthewinneris 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Olympic Dreams 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Winit 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Unbridled Bomber 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Phileas Fogg 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Parkerness 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Badlands Ruler 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mr. Swagger 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Watasha 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Debate 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Heard On Thestreet 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Two for Charging 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Arrebato 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Olga Isabel 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dream Concert 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Everyoneloveslinda 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Just Katherine 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Braganza 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 My Kentucky Girl 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 St. Benedicts Prep 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Reflexivity (IRE) 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Shaman Princess 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Amy’s Light 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 River Tay (IRE) 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Valentine Gift 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Turriga 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Magic Eight Ball 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Miss Bourbon 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Rainingatthebeach 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Justheart 10.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Patty Van Twinkle 1.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Bella Voce 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lady Delilah 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Boston’s Phinest 3.00 1.3 2-1
12 12 Mischievous Trick 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Straca 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Immigration Law 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Blossoming Erudite 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Tricky Mama 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Dreamworkin 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Gattatiz 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Furry Fox 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Twilight Tango 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Blue Eyed Scout 10.00 7.6 14-1
15 15 Frankie Hiccups 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Route Sensation 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Princess Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Open Flame 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Donegal Surges 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sun Thunder 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Fromanothamutha 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Digital Ops 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Paddington 10.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Certified Loverboy 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pentathlon 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mama’s Gold 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Pirate 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Jackson Heights 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Reserve Currency 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Toy Collector 6.00 1 2-1
5 4 Dancing Dean 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Determined Lilly 12.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Vino Rouge 2.50 2.4 5-1
11 10 Sassy Princess 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Southampton Dock 30.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Gold Lightning 4.50 4.1 8-1
12 11 Elle Est Forte 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 No Mo Candy 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Pretty Ana 6.00 7.3 14-1
15 16 Halo City 10.00 SCRATCH
1 12 Judgement Time 50.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Power and Glory 50.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Sweet Dutchess 20.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Whocouldaskformo 1.00 SCRATCH
14 15 Just Music 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Past Tense 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Addressable Market (IRE) 30.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Philly’s Finest 4.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 American Kestrel 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Sale Leaseback (IRE) 4.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 True Myth 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Exotic Cat 30.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Capo Donna 10.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Wild Iris 12.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Jenas Mercy 20.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Bam Bam 8.00 11.2 21-1
14 14 Looks First 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Looking for Ginny 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Classic Cara 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Street View 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Althena 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.