Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Lonesome Glory H.) – Lonesome Glory H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evie’s Prince | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freddy Flintshire | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | L’Imperator (FR) | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Path | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going Country (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Welshman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Westerland (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Vic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 7 | Factually Correct | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Stage Left | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Durante | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Disarmed | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Twenty Four Mamba | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Little Vic | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Stop the Press | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Passive Management (GB) | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mr Flowers | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Take Your Seats (IRE) | 0.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Gun Barrel City | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Trumpet | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Lcgolucky | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rocco Strong | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Nimitz Class | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Barese | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Khafre | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empty Tomb | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Alternate Reality | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Celestial Glaze | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skylander | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | St Andrews | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Perfect Flight | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Magnolia Midnight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Princess Becca | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Princess Becca | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destine to Race | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby Jean | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elliptic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duckphat | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Weekend | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Save Us Melania | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thorny | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Vita Sofia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Life Story | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Price Is Truth | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starsinthecity | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Egyptian Quest | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mazzei | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Force | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Braca | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jim Bob | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seventh Race Shake | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Ego | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Born Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Front Man | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kick a Buck | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Modica | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Vino | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Country | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostlyprince | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feathers Road | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heathguard | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Scat Tu Tap | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Your Mission | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Andy Cant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Emirates Road | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Treaty Obligation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mybronxbaby | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flight Control | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulous Fox | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Class Cat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carol T | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starry Midnight | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hazel | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Better Humor Me | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Liza | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yesterday | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panache | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Pants | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Every Vote Counts (GB) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miriam’s Fire (GB) | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Dreamer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banner Eighteen (FR) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sporting Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.