Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All West | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Sir Ollie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Juju | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santa Cruiser | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All West | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Improbable Story | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burninhunkoflove | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Appeal Denied | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tanmancan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jammin Justice | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brazen Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air Cav | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Your Money | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arthur | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Protege | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untroubled | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curlins Incharge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kolomio | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Aiken | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixwillberich | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Crow | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Adam | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iceatude | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Nation | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Six Kings | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moving to Kentucky | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincita | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Have Dreams | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Photo Op | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Night | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate Strike | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Noah | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In the Numbers | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Higginsville | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sound Doctrine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prints Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quarrymen | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Ambition | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Gunner | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alilnalot | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Flag | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stunnem | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Refuah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pure Panic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Sensation | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Got Thunder | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tallahatchiebridge | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solidify | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Best | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timeless Bounty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Rey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Blaze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sombra Dorada | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Kisses | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Cami | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nursekringledances | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Lover | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Idalou | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Billal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Save the Trees | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | How’s Ur Attitude | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barksdale | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Market Street | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Hero | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Skylight | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finster | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banjo Chris | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Force | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Optical | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reb | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Ice | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G. Erik | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Conviction | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out of the Clouds | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ky Do Declare | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desperate Proposal | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy A. P. | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Il Marchesse | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dual Income | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.