Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resemblance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devilnthebluegras | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomorrownevercomes | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He Did | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dawson | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Borntostaythirsty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stay Zappy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Spouse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Unified A. P. | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O C Rhapsody | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better B Worth It | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Apple Valley Girl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Less Is More | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fibonaccis Ride | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On Time Tam | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gobernadora Ely | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrazek’s Old Dream | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Flying Gracie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jane Kendeigh | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collectmythoughts | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Runner | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gianis Girl | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Quality | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hallelujah High | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Respect the Crown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Lil’ Darlin | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discrepancy | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Magic | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rippin a Way | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amelia Bleu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spread the Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock N Roll Song | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Sugar | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Kid | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Colleen | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonita Leona | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Known Idea | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rhino | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Advisor | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danzing Rebel | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Erebus | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Ride | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Punctual | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ocasek | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notch | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kissmeyoufool | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy’s Wildcat | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Churchmeister | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chirag | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Natural Cat | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McClusky | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.