Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No More Kisses 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hollywoodland 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lady Sriracha 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Diamond Sue 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 A Lotta Moxie 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Be Inspired 0.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Rapper Zapper 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Northern Tick Tock 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Omar Comin 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Master of None 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Good Knight Nile 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Selassie 4.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Super E 8.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Flash Is Back 10.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Prince of Portland 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Bee Major 3.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Mr Jefferson 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 El de Larry 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Chuck Adams 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Melt With You 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Silverbullettwenty 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mister Agent 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Monday Morning Qb 1.40 1 2-1
6 7 Union Fleet 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 4 My Last Mission 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Backnthewoods 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Tiz No Clown 30.00 3.9 7-1
8 9 Genghis 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Yes It’s Roo 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Don’t Wait Up 1.80 SCRATCH
3 2 Cajun Dream 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pops Harper 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Fierce Competition 12.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Valore 3.00 1.9 4-1
13 13 Same Day as L J 15.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Category Cinco 20.00 4 7-1
4 4 Band Tour 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 All Fruits Ripe 30.00 4.4 8-1
15 15 Sin Permiso 15.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Northern Cardinal 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Milo 6.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Stormy Hollow 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Is It Five 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Beach Cowboy 1.40 SCRATCH
16 16 Specialagentjonson 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 One True Dude 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Andras 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Casey N Pap 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Amy’s Music 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Night Preacher 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Stoney 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Built by Khozan 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Top Blood 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Say Me True 6.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Moonlit Frost 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Finn d’Oro 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Decorum 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wish Me Home 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Von Hoff 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fun Lovin Criminal 10.00 4.5 8-1
13 13 Guapo Again (ARG) 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Dark and Fitzy 6.00 6 11-1
12 12 Grey Streak 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Street Copper 3.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 In the Dance 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Samui Sunset 15.00 10.6 20-1
15 15 Tom Hagen 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fast Breakin Cash 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Kendama 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prince Khozan 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Business Model 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tops the Chart 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Going At It 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’sarollingstone 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Marley’s Ghost 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bound by Destiny 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Pistol Liz Ablazen 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Date Night Kisses 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Divine Romance 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Coal Mine 1.60 7.5 14-1
2 2 Isabella’s Glory 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Summerinthecountry 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Grey Flannel Boss 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Go to Bingo 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Sinetic 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Correlation 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Stormy Flight 6.00 5 9-1
11 11 Roll On Jesse 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Honors Due 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Myluckeyvalentine 3.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 The Warden 4.00 7 13-1
5 5 Wickeddivine 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Peachyness 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Biscuitwiththeboss 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Youmakemecharlie 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Chantico 2.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Say You Love Me 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Safe Trust 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Not Too Late 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Shkhara Fire 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Malibu Hooch 3.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Green Eyed Monster 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maximatch 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chevy Man 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Hallelujah Harris 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stow On the Wold 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Ike’s Gamble 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cocktails At Noon 3.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 No Foolin Mo 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Work Hard 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Lucky Prince 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Collator 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.