Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Air Cav Piloto 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rough Majestic 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Miss La Panther 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Mp Shinning Memories 4.50 6 11-1
4 4 Freedom Ride 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 One Eye Angel 10.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Unbethlievable 10.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Rl Krafty Wish 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Masons Jet Black 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cr Wicked Wabbit 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Quick Ladys Cash 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Zoomin Dash 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sweater Tlc 3.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Apollitical Frosty 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Mr Secret Lee 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Tiz an Ocean 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ima Calente Kid 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Cheaper Than Gas 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Jj Sir Runaway 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Precious T 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Vf Wheely Sixty 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fast Too Lunch 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bikila Cartel 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Sweet Tadpole 8.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Memphis Badboy 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ponookies Fast Cash 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jess Ta Dash a Blue 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Force of Anakin 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Jess Back the Blue 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Toasta Patriot Chick 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Jm Friday 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sizzlin Grace 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Jessagreatgrandson 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jtf Marshal 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jessadifferentdolly 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lets Geaux 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Makinit 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Dancing Ace Train 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Three R One Fire 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lynns Piloto Magic 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 M This Game Is Fire 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Grano D Oro 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Hes Fire 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Makem Pay 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bama Fortune Cookie 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Black Magic Pilot 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 The Coonash Cartel 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Precious Rogue 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Yacth Sea River 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Jess Surfing 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Jamies Secret Piloto 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Catch Some Bux 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Nothing Like Acorona 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tentadorra 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fire Ice Cartel 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tempting Nme 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Jess Bye Louisiana 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mp Latin Lover 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Mammas Royal Flush 4.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Queen of Power 3.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 De Bell Train 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Political Darling 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Last Goodbye 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lelas Corona 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bellas First Rogue 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Grand Hercules 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lonestar Runner 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Cosino Rogue 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Venus Tlc 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 My Lady Corona 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Catch Ya Later Chic 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Tcb Eye B Famous 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yesterdays Wine 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Bureaucracy 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Corona Two Socks 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Freckles Brown 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Ajs Louisiana Chick 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Xdw Jess a Rogue 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Alcala Rogue 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Wow She On Eagle 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Hy On Sweet Luck 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Tf Jess Toasted 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 I Am a Patriot Too 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jp La Fresita 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Ima Powerful Jammer 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sea Train B 4.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Blood N Coronas 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Sweet Pea Dash 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Piloto West 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Deez All Joomy 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Lrh Jess Shake It Up 6.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Tlc Fabulous 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.