Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Binging |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Abboudy Run |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grey Power |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
He’za Ten |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Blaze |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
In Without Knockin |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miracle Ball |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smooth as Butter |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stormy Gal |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proceedtotheroute |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
The Big Cheeseola |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pop d’Oro |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Splash |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Billy’s Bet |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lettheliquortalk |
2.50 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
This Is a Joke |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spiritist |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Top Gun Classic |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
C’Mon Man |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Cheddar |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yes He Can |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Facts Matter |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sonic Brees |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marks Hip |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
98 |
Whoa Buddy |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Splashed in Gold |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pat’s Paddock Pick |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Devil Among Us |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Street Humor |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Takamakahara |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smiling Tony |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sippin Whiskey |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Damazio |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mongolian Frost |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Miz Clubcali |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rose Dawson |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shamrockin |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Act of Serendipity |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Satellite Heart |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roman Empress |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flymetothemoonbaby |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Instinct D’ Oro |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beer Money |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Immelmann |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Impeachalot |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Eight Clap |
5.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Petesoldfashioned |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leading the Pace |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Letshaveonemore |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gostoso |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (E.b. Johnston S.) – E.b. Johnston S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Man O Rose |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dont Fight the Fed |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fast Draw Munnings |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coalinga Road |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cowboy Mike |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shortman |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Rey Dorado |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rhino |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.