Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Running River | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Eye On the Candy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | American d’Oro | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Formal Order | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Daredavite | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Factotum | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Winged Foot | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Virginia Fulla | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crabcakes N Beer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lordly | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kitty’s Son | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dats Mr. Tap | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paraclete | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dats Tap | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhythm ‘n Blues | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mendelslew | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catalina Storm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilding Lane | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tuff Luck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Motive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lou’s Birthday | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up in Flames | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Alex | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tony Eclipse | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antietam | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brewmaster | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ecumenical | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Designer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wampy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granuaile | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dearly | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Mor Mor | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ful of Shenanigans | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Hunny Bunny | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Worries Unfounded | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frappart | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lachicafortequila | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hail No | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbadian Runner | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Do It for Michael | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissling | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barbadian Runner | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happyflyer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Little Bit Risky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellinger | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Mick | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Fair Shake | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marian Cross (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bondiva | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gift of Gab | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Amazing Mizzen | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milliat (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Mound | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wise and Elegant | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rainas Rollin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lilly Simone | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Trixie’s Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Apropos | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lady Serenity | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Countryclub Couple | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Parola Sicura | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Profitunity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Audacious | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Many Kisses | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Planet Clare | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Sense | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play Good Pay Good | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Sherry Go | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monarch | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mayfair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (All Along S.) – All Along S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | For Flying (BRZ) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cut From Class | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blood Orange | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Dancing | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Home | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Beauty | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Appeals | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All That Magic | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | L Street Lady | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loon Cry | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shoshanah | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Bucchero | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anaita | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Day | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Stack | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carolina Hideaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alla Breve | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Polynesian S.) – Polynesian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Post Time | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Debit Card | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frightland | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Malibu | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riccio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Upsidedown Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Express | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | P Money | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Red Eagle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Skippy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Three Captains | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tik Tok Daddy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roommate Martin | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Up | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J R Jone Z | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Heavy Timber | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Frosty the Giant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.