Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moment’s Notice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McHale | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Math Tutor | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alias | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vekoma Rides | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Golf | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Money | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Colton | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Ruby | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Hero | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scheduling Dude | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme Gimme | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Monomoy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kimball Union | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neuschwanstein | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magia Nera | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montebello | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Mile | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anthracite | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whenlovetakesover | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Borletti (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coach Sessa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Laoban | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Assisi | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Is All Busines | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quite Continental | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dubawi Wowie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlight Dancer | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Purest Performance | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Realta | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gregorian Solo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Holder Close | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ashdale | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sendera | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Adult Entertainer | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | La Fiere | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Gut Feeling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Allaboutthemoney | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Mastermind | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bronx Bomber | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Goldini | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Captain | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cumberland Blues | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Light | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Prince of Joy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tall Paul | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Land d’Oro | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Banana Boy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Stormy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Co Conspirator | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Freeze Kaz | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dunedin Causeway | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakto | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Valuation Metric | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Davy Crockett | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tharhom | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barricade | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mortal Lock | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strategist | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Well Suited | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | No Merlot | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat to Da Mat | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Ghost Me | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dakto | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Got Stripes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proud Mary | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leslie’s Humor | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fantastical | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masterof the Tunes | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Our Time | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artemis Sound | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lamorna | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toasted Roll | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Implosion | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Rocket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Belle of the Ball | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Broderie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Status Seeker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Briterdayzahead | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Super Chief | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Papa Rocket | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mister J T | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Milton the Monster | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beachwalker | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Pipes and Drums | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Air Show | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Bourbon’s Hope | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Honorary Degree | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Screaming Uncle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fasig-tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beautiful Love (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Mary (GER) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mont Saint Michel (FR) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mixologist | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Madonna | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian Candy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Macanga | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justdeny | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Love (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Americandreammaker | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Roberts (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Poker Joker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trulli Warrior | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salacious | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Favor (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pujol | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theregoesmymiracle | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Counter Attack | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flicker (GB) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Dash | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mano E Mano | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Very Satisfactory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Always Be Smart | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Liberte de Bayeux | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glint | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ramesses | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.