Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
He’squite Mischief |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red On Sunday |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Last Call Paul |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Antibes |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Remi Or Not |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
He’squite Mischief |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drive for Show |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ratleff |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mike Operator |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Low Expectations |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nauvoo |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Birth of Cool |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Taishan |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hapi Hapi |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Broadway Unions |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shore Road |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Recruit |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cangrejo |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Gain |
1.80 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jerry’s Spirit |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Without Borders |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shot of Courage |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kid Azteca |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Don’t Get It |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kimmer |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Incredible Shot |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Stanford Hottie |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
You Better You Bet |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirsty Destiny |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tail On Fire |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pebbles B Awesome |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Ella Rae |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
In Your Life |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pippa Philipa |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
God’s Favor |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Morgan’s Bluff |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Storming Gray |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Round in Circles |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bruins Mastery |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Red Cross Knight |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cornell |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Manitowish |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hula Candy |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
King Apollo |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Caisson |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hot Shot |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Sermon |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chips |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cioppina Pasadina |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Buds N Suds |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hellova Louella |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daddygaveittome |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.