Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
He’squite Mischief 0 0-1
1 1 Red On Sunday 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Last Call Paul 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Antibes 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Remi Or Not 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 He’squite Mischief 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Drive for Show 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ratleff 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mike Operator 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Low Expectations 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Nauvoo 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Birth of Cool 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Taishan 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Hapi Hapi 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Broadway Unions 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Shore Road 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Wild Recruit 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cangrejo 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Big Gain 1.80 4.9 9-1
5 5 Jerry’s Spirit 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Without Borders 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Shot of Courage 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Kid Azteca 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 I Don’t Get It 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Kimmer 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Incredible Shot 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stanford Hottie 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 You Better You Bet 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Thirsty Destiny 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Tail On Fire 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Pebbles B Awesome 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sweet Ella Rae 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 In Your Life 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pippa Philipa 4.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 God’s Favor 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Morgan’s Bluff 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Storming Gray 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Round in Circles 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Bruins Mastery 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Red Cross Knight 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cornell 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 4 Manitowish 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Hula Candy 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 King Apollo 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Caisson 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot Shot 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lucky Sermon 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Chips 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Cioppina Pasadina 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Buds N Suds 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Hellova Louella 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Daddygaveittome 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.