Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rarified Flair | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mineola Mike | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secretary At War | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Water Flow | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bermondsey | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dadashev | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Law of the Jungle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Entrust | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curb | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Krissi N | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alyvia Mavis | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winners Glory | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agia Marina | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Costly | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wynsome Cat | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad for Maddy | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chicken Parm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiki Bar | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liffey | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Diana | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Memphis Showboat | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wellareyouhappynow | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purring | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Something Wicked | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Thoughts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Play Good Pay Good | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Small Wonder S.) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caprice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Andrei | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onyx Ten | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Pearl | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atlantis Queen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Need to Ask | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Blome | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acheron | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cha Cha Tap | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Maximo Madness | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merrychill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Little Red | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blonde Samaritan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Sexy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Put a Rock On It | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cha Cha Tap | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Blessing | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Coco | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Amazing | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Mama | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lady Liberty Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (First State Dash S.) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kerness K | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Re Markably | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All the Hardways | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bangkok Bob | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schrader | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Hammertime | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Motive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cold Feet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Action | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Power Attack | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Edge Sword | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Judge and Jury | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Vamos Viejo | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surprise Boss | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin With Angels | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | B Determined | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Psychedelic Shack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Take a Hint | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dalinar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Excitable Boy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Walk Inthe Park | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tovia | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlize Chub | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ziffy Bug | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ritz On Broadway | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trechmo Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Say No More | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Sunset | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.