Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pickford Sweet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Herethereverywhere | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hyper Angel | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Soul | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing in Rio | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Malarkey | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Buy Class | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Raleigh | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Visor | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sinful Forester | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. C | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duval Street | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mardene | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Ribbon | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Spirit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quest to Be Proud | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All for Honor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alimony | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commander Joe | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fascination Street | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cantucci | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Master Spy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town’s Warrior | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunspear | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yorkville | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucys Child | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Most Likely | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doadster | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess of Storm | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awe Inspired | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Ride | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empower | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ylivoimainen | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mohaymen Diamond | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Novel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tavaline | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Fifty | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Bullet Lady | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minedandrefined | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Image | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Weehawken | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Sunny Valentine | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Veri Gizmo | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Royal Blush | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greavette | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Mercury | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Veery | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Makes a Point | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt Enoree | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awasef | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Antenna | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Friends | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Forest Drift | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Retail Therapist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Never Silent | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Load | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Trick | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miramichi | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faithful Creek | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anita Margarita | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prima | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McAvoy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly Ghost | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Causin’ Mayhem | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bail Us Out | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Decision | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Charlie | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Romance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exude | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Niagara S. Presented By The Greenwood Stakes) – Niagara S. Presented By The Greenwood Stakes
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eyes On the King | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lac Macaza | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Palazzi | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin in Da’nile | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spinzar | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Age (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stanley House | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collective Force | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Paramount Prince | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jim’s Hope | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Twowaycrossing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Lady Peace | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wegottatalk | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Cash Factor | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rose of Sharon | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closing Appeal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scary Boo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Mischief | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Helana | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fanny M | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.