Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Charming Elan 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Jj One Meteorite 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dashin Double D 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Powerful Moment 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Rogue Effort 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Shyloh Therapy 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Five Bar Chocolate 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Shania Traine 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wood Be Leaving 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lassie Fast Dash 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Tf Eyesa Dashin 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Carters Showgirl 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Goin South for Rogue 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Teemptation 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Mda Eyes of Corona 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tk B Zoomin 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Five Bar 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tdz Bambis La Cartel 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Im a Good Fridaygirl 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Bt Tres Lunas 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Rl Ganzito 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Cc Stormy Nite 10.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Jj Eagle Hy Luck 10.00 9 17-1
9 9 Move Over 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Lakeview Dash S.) – Lakeview Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tuckers Prize 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Kp Paintmeasymphony 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Onemorewildtrain 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Geaux Party Geaux 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ks Grand Kiss 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 San Lorenzo Girl 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Espanade S.) – Espanade S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Sweet Sugar 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Konnan Cartel 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Doin It Just for Fun 1.40 1.7 3-1
3 3 One Dashing Dove 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Jess Jumpn Dynasty 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Five Bar Jess Cartel 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Drink 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sizzlin Cartel Blue 4.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Famousflyingfreight 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Gray Thorns 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Ks Eagle Quick 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Le Madame P3 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Flamboyant Eagle 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Zoomin Prize Perry 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Aunt Ila 12.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Free Guns 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wagon Kisses 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Regardlezz 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Jess Sippin Coronas 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jp La Venadita 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 The Shining Cartel 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Polita Chick 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Ranch Watr 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Open Me Champagne 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Your Times Coming 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (French Quarter S.) – French Quarter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Apolitical Queen 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Patty Wagon Train 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Moonin Princess 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jm Texas Blood 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Miss Apolitical 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 One Sweet Rogue 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Flying Feather 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 La Zoomin Cartel 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mid City S.) – Mid City S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Into the Grey 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wild Train Fortune 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Cool Ya Jets 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 One Sweet Boss 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Lil Too Dirty 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Good Lookin Patriot 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 B a Lady 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Masseto 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gran Corazon 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Apolitical Chick 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 San Lorenzo Tempted 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Dead Winner 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Colts First Toast 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Franny B Dove 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Jess Taylor Made 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Sheet N Gheet 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Lets Go Two 15.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Tf Miss Tee Jess 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.