Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 7, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Marc the Money Man 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Shanaplan 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Steak Fries 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Miss Mrazek 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ten Figures 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Going With Her 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 The Shillelagh 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Prince of Del Mar 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rosie Tinkerbell 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 War Is Hell 12.00 4.3 8-1
14 14 Sir Tom 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Keep Dancin Nick 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cullen J 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prince Dolce 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Uncle Reg 1.80 1 2-1
7 6 Touchdown Brown 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Curry 20.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Honeymoon Suite 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 John Dunbar 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Trust Daddy 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Phoenician Ghost 30.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Park City 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Kahuna Magic 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 98 Hula Candy 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Neon Lights (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unrivaled Hero 0 0-1
Zabo 0 0-1
10 10 Curvino 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Freedom of Speech 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Iron Man Cal 4.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 King’s Road 1.80 7.2 14-1
11 11 Johnson’s Magic 4.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Zabo 8.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Video Review 12.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Unrivaled Hero 12.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Stingray Shuffle 15.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Snowdonia 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Muscled 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Toppers At Seaside 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tab Walker 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Coulair (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Fanduel Racing Del Mar Debutante S.) – Fanduel Racing Del Mar Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nooni 0 0-1
Nooni 0 0-1
4 4 Vodka With a Twist 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nooni 0.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 So There She Was 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Night Beacon 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Jack’s Magic Girl 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Proud Starlet 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tenma 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thought Process 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Casalu 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Apocalyptic 50.00 6 11-1
9 9 Caitlin Fever 15.00 6 11-1
12 12 Sea Runner 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Madonna of Loreto 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Global Consort 50.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Supa Speed 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Hey Lil Lady 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Fondest Dream (GB) 5.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Twirling Light 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 An Chorr Dubh (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smash It 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Soi Ngern 20.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Arrakis 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Yaqin 3.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Charlie’s to Blame 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Start Mo Up 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Elusive Moon 4.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Tapit Dynasty 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Wolf Away 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Into Midnight 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Grinnell 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lottery Pick 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Barely Funtional 15.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 One of These Days (IRE) 10.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 On the Whim 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Smart Code 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Talklessworkmore 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lahaina Flavor 10.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Eye On Ry 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Aurelian Man 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 News At Ten (GB) 2.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Zio Jo 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Fifth Street 20.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 King Apollo 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Red Cross Knight 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Stellar Cap 10.00 1 2-1
11 9 Safa 5.00 3 6-1
5 4 Baby Kristen 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 Wishtheyallcouldbe 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Neezer Dalton 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 6 No Cap 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Sharp Ride 4.50 4.7 9-1
9 7 Dads Estrella 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 10 Worthy of Magic 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 R B’s Tiger 20.00 9.8 18-1
14 98 Rose Dawson 0.00 SCRATCH
6 98 Roman Empress 0.00 SCRATCH
13 98 Act of Serendipity 0.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Shamrockin 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (John C. Mabee S.) – John C. Mabee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncorked (AUS) 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Didia (ARG) 0.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Anisette (GB) 1.40 1.6 3-1
3 3 Lucky Girl (IRE) 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Fuente Ovejuna (GB) 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Hang the Moon 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Royal Charter (GB) 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pilot Commander 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Tranche 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Red Flag 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wendelssohn 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 All That Glory 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Money Run 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Central Dispatch 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Heart Headed 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Schwarzmeier 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Sensical 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Fifty Cent Dollars 20.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Wayne the Brain 15.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 McLaren Vale 30.00 SCRATCH
14 98 Prince of Power 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sophisticate 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Everything Bugs Me 12.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Upcharge 15.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Bolt’s Broad 30.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fire Ban 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Interplay 10.00 4 8-1
11 11 Helga Brandt (IRE) 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Wimberly 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Sweet Gem 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sweet Delta Dawn 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Miss Mandalay (GB) 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Mizzyaan 10.00 7.1 13-1
14 14 Chrome Dessert 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flight to Quality (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.