Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rh Querida Soraya 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Foose You Babe 4.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Hershey Bar One 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Hadleighs Bb Girl 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Rl Kanguro 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 I Am the Guy 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Flying Gypse Deluxe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tinys First Runaway 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jp Icy Boss 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bjx Supernatural 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Take the Fasttrain 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Jtf Game Eagle 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Just Plain Deadly 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Coronas Margarita 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bb Coronas 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Palmero Fantasy 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shespantheraalcartel 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 One Fast B 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cr Ease Love 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jess Divi the Cash 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Jess Moon Coming 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Maggi Mae 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Fast Delivery Time 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Too Jealous 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moonin Dagouti 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alyhundro 5.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Jr Pyc Secret 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jewel Tide 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Es El Tordillo de Rf 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lone Star Red 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Heza Hustler 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Jp La Belica 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Ima Sizzlin Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The 300 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Iveseenwhatyoucando 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sheza Fast Piloto 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Blues Pride 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 World Hero 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Sheza Flirtin 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Miss Headlines 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Curlin Coal 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Jp El Huerfanito 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Florentine Dash 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Loveyoutothemoon 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Kk Mr Piloto First 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 All About Channing 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fast N Famous Toast 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Ridin High 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Jnj a Game Jess 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Jj Corona Jess 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Rf Fear the Eagle 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Rm Patriot Patron 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 A Real Miracle 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Heza Monee Cartel 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 El Turista 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mark 536 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ivan White Dash 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Angel Bay Doc 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jrs Jess First 8.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Fast Dashin Colt 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 One Big Storm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
This Train Flies 0 0-1
10 10 Tk Sweet Eyes 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ttt Lil Blackstreak 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 C the Power 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Robbiesdashingleagle 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Wagon Corona Train 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 This Train Flies 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Cb Pinkmoonin 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Prom Queen Nr 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Tf Whatever It Takes 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sheza Fast Jesse 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 First Cash Ha Chi 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 No Moonin 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Pollitical Dreamin 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Blood Kiss 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sweet Sassy Sista 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hint of Rainy 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Right Down Broadway 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Kataklysmik 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Rafaello 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.