Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady Monclaire 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Will 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Maniae 6.00 3 6-1
11 11 Glacier Rim 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 On the Equinox 3.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Tiz Lissett 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 G’oro 15.00 7 13-1
12 12 Shoot for the Sky 30.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 She’s Just Grand 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Lita Way 30.00 11.4 22-1
4 4 Tom’s Star 20.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Thank You Kera 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pippa Philipa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Timty 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Style Cat 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bodacious 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shea Brennan 1.80 3.8 7-1
4 4 The Gypsy Cowboy 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 R Heisman 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aleramo (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Abazaami (GB) 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Watershed Moment 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Ce La Vi Charli 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Queen Kimbe 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lolo Le Plume 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Resolve 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Toes 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Ready to Dare 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Lady Chic 3.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Naples Gal 0.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Caitlin Fever 10.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Lady Lollipop 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Madonna of Loreto 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King and Country 8.00 1 2-1
7 6 Syntactic 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 9 Picking It Up 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Smokem Ez 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Chasing Rain 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Lone Scout 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 Dark Marcus 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Supermax 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Midnight Mojo 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 98 Cupid’s Crusader 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kelly’s Out (IRE) 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Sweet Laker 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 True Patriot 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Amelia Bleu 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Golden Temper 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Leopardess (GB) 8.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 English Danger 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Beautiful Janet 20.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Lady Mary Lou 30.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Sabres 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Top Gun Tommy 8.00 1 2-1
5 4 Smarty Nose 30.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 I’m a Lucky Man 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Ultimate 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Kell’s Bells 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Crypto Craze 20.00 4 8-1
10 9 Cajun Brother 4.00 4.8 9-1
13 11 Yes He Can 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Man Overboard 6.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 El Diablo Rojo 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Gypsy Lynn 15.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Worth Looking 0.00 SCRATCH
4 98 This Is a Joke 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Code Duello 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Proof He Rides 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Beer Can Man 3.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Tigerhon (FR) 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Agency 4.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Mubtadaa 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Zoffarelli (IRE) 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Panic Alarm (IRE) 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Roll On Big Joe 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Charge for Gold 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Sigiloso 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arromax 3.00 1 2-1
11 10 Kobe W 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 8 Westeros 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Uplift 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Winsitwell 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Crown Prosecutor 30.00 4 8-1
10 9 Stephortless 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Flying Blind 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Eddie’s Wave 3.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 War On the West 30.00 10.8 20-1
13 12 L Squared 20.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Classic Alphie 8.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Halverson 0.00 SCRATCH
14 13 Devilnthebluegras 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.