Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shes a Darling 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Stormy Ocean 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Eva’s Record 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Hyper Holiday 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Speed Loader 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Legally Charitable 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mrs. Benjamin 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sassy Melissa 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Silent Guroo 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Sugar Is Golden 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 American Gamble 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Make No Mistake 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mi Tormenta 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Summer Snow 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lois Len 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Bridge to Nowhere 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Looks Lucky to Me 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Tivali 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mrs. Hot Shot 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Smiles for David 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Forest Vixen 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Original Me 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Forever Danish 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Daddy’s Daisy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 World Showcase 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Good News Money 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Privacy Setting (FR) 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Heliocentric 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 L’Esprit 20.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Just a Gem 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 On Paradise Hill 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Sweet City Doll 12.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Houlihan 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Arrakasta Istoria 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Mardene 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 All for Honor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Momunnyfor Ro 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Souper Cop 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Crimson Nights 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Dyna’s Flatter 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Iron Pyrite 3.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Spirit Bear 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Candid Candace 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Now You See Me 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Braquet 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Cee’nceesgreytness 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Fedaline 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Zodiac Beach 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Makayla 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Rookie Court 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 High Treason 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tempora 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Onandonandon 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Helluva Holiday 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Taylormoon 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Dreaming of Audrey 2.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Winyah Bay 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Seattle Signal 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Airy Fairy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spectacular Force 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Silent Diva 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Geneva 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Beaumont Drive 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Princess O Denmark 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Silver Lasso 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Olivia’s Melody 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Disgruntledpelican 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Prairie Sky 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.