Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ade 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Vicki Vale 1.60 1.7 3-1
8 8 Uptown Miss 10.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Ferociousness 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 So Much Jazz 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Seven’s Magic 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rose Gold Candy 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Risk and Regret 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Living in Style 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lovely Liza 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Boh’s N O’s 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Nucci 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lady Lancer 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Strategy Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cora’s Choice 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winged Foot 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sagrada Ray 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Big Beautiful Wall 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Petit Fils (FR) 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Samyaza 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Eye On the Candy 10.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Mt Suribachi 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Borgobythesea 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Saponara 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Barleewon 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Bold Medication 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Lookin for Justice 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Titoschangedmyluck 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Grace Reformed 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mo Traffic 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Prize Debate 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Maximum Emily 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Survival Rose 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hopesndreams 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Delta Charm 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Momma Kim 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Reassess 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bunny Hop 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Obstreperous 3.00 7 13-1
5 5 Sassy Babe 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Volatility 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kiss Me Hardy 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Joya Del Sur 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Social Lady 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Ragtime Belle 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Divine Grace 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Go Margie Go 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 American Memories 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Work Hard 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Zevon 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Romantic Lead 1.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Final Opportunity 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Aft 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bayou Justice 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Burden of Proof 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Haizum 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Winterfell 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 St Pete’s Passion 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Takeschargesmiling 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Super Constitution 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Brother Showtyme 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bold Honor 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Battle of Bastogne 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Wesley Thomas 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dublshotofcourage 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Rumpusinthesky 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.