Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classymademoiselle 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sky Maker 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Jubilant Joanie 1.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Dream Princess 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Iconic Sky 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Madison Rae 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Recinto Rompere 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ang N Ash 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dial a Friend 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Princess Midnight 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Pace Lane 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Strange Addiction 15.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Ankyrah 10.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Port Ellen (IRE) 3.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Sing a Happy Song 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elector 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ready to Pounce 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Clouseau 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Mitico 12.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Zimba Warrior 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Clampett 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Mogollon Rim 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Den of Iniquity (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Fashion 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Willa T 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Matters 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Auditory 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 God’s Favor 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Vibez 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Running Super 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Smooth as Butter 30.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Magic Tip 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 She Be Boss 10.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Morgan’s Bluff 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flight to Quality (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hardmoneymuchachos 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Leyas Candy 1.40 1.2 2-1
2 2 Keen to Go 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Seattle Breakout 30.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rogue Son 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Joint Venture 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Arrogates Spirit 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sassy Prancelot 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bold Choice 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Diamond Bar Gal 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Giant Kid 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Long Mayshe Reign 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Flame McGoon 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Big Celebration 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Square Tomatoes 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Nene Diamond 2.50 7.2 14-1
8 8 Blackjack Betty 30.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Act of Serendipity 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dancing Soul 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tiny Prancer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whiskeyinateacup 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Unsustainable 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Winds of Freedom 3.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Sevak 10.00 6.1 11-1
12 10 Solo Gano 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Dynodave 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Pax a Punch 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Goodbye Now 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Merit Based 6.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Buttermaker 12.00 8.5 16-1
13 11 Sir Tom 5.00 SCRATCH
7 98 Got Soul 0.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Mr. Machupicchu 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Silver N Black 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Vols 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Fleet Brotato 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Toppers Wager 12.00 4 8-1
6 5 Big Bet 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Keep It Coming 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 War Swift 15.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Razen the Stakes 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Black as My Heart 3.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Investalot 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Mischievous Dylan 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 98 Nawiliwili 0.00 SCRATCH
14 13 I’llhaveanotherwon 20.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Mining District 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.