Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | K O American Pie | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy’s a Dandy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Lips Houlihan | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carols Kitten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Creek | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Lottie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Billie Baby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancininthecountry | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jackman’s Ride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightsville | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | India Ink | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saturday’s Gold | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sign of War | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belews Gold | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Wayside | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Butterfly | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystical Code | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scooter’s Honor | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medicine Show | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Katillac | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Bileve | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Union Data | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clay’s Black Opal | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chapel Barn | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sr. Bi Bi | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electoral | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Dozer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desoto’s War | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Verse | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Joan Jets | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kooky | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bohemian Cowgirl | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Words | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Iris | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Cess | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floras Ora | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Rhonda | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Clarity | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucy’s Halo | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Lauren Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fireball Birdie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Rick | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aztec Fire | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fastened | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Title Contender | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Opinion | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Equus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tx Women for Arts | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Dolly | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accelerate Judy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Charity | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Markswoman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Prospector | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Machine Gun Man | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Number One Dude | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Pilot | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paluxy | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Release McCraken | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.