Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Brit’s Candyman |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bright Forecast |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Red Devolution |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Senate Chamber |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Prince |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack Beanstalk |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
We B Shackin |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chrome Heir |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Getaway |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bounty Killah |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zippy Do Da Day |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Victoriousvictoria |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Short Ship |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Boss Lady |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grace Is Golden |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
One Violent Affair |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bravo Regina |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ziffy Bug |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Aethelflaed |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ritz On Broadway |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ms. Lady T |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shaymyname |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hollywoodland |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Time Is Magic |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sissinghurst |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Anise |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tuck Check |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Martynas’ Joy |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sister Sola |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Rocket |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Fantasma |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smashing |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reppazz |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gate Song |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
You’re the One |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Take Charge Chloe |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kitty’s Pretty |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Old Bay |
1.80 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boss Like Beth |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arch Street |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Wicked Finn |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Laytown |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uninvited Guest |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Celestial Moon |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Napoleon’s War |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Style |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Star Shopping |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesome Flay |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
What Does It Take |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pappy’s Revenge |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Berrier |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Afraidofthebunny |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Collection Day |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Steady John |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carentan |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Baltasar |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sainthoodforbrian |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Court Contender |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bar Down Express |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cash Now |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mogalu |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.