Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Magic Philly 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Scary Fast Ride 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Nokie 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 A Real Jewel 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Cheeky Gal 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Don’t Bring Crazy 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Venganza 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rizzleberry Rose 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Om N Joy 4.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Tropical Rain Day 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Gobernadora Ely 30.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 America’s Mark 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Pavel Is Appealing 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Hearts Fantasy 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Newport Dreamz 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Tranquility Lake S.) – Tranquility Lake S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super Shine (ARG) 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Ascendancy 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Show Card 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Yuki (CHI) 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Liberal Lady 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Grace Period (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lil’ Boom Boom 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Cloudy Rose 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lunar Ride 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Hula Prancer 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Less Is More 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Heartfull of Joy 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 We the Free 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Grateful My Love 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Generous Portion S.) – Generous Portion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 In the Air Tonight 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Thirsty Mama 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Thirsty in Vegas 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Hot Girl Walk 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cayucos 1.20 5.7 11-1
6 6 Nostri Vires 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kissed by Fire 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Itzel 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Just Nails 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Rebalation 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Real Fire 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Big Summer 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hotitude 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Doris Mae 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Big Spin 0 0-1
4 4 Supermazel 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Spin 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 10 Granada Flavor 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tribal Nation 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Upstart Yankee 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Vanzzy 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Greatheart 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Float On 30.00 5 9-1
2 2 Abadon 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Never Seen Before (IRE) 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Top Gun Classic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Loterie (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lamporghini 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sneaker 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Paradise Lake 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Raw Ability (IRE) 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Blue Oasis 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Super Enticing 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Platinum Diva 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Alluring 5.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Shin Jidai (GB) 12.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Queen Maxima 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trotsky 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Smokem If U Gottem 1.20 1.8 3-1
6 6 Don’t Hit Me Bash 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 I’m Ripped 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Caught in the Dark 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Miss Jo’s Curlin 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Majestic Palisades 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Sir Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Miss Meagher (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Highlands 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Esprit Enchante 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Baltic Fire 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hannah Buckle (IRE) 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Ketonia (FR) 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ima Joker 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tahini 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Tiaraqueen (GB) 10.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Antique Silver 30.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Watchtower 3.50 11.9 22-1
1 1 Blevys Tiger 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Chaz 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Captain Sparrow 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bowtie Boys 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Next Trick 30.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Getemdusty 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mendelssohns Music 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Aloha Chrome 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Street Talker 20.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Doradus 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Formidable Threat 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Sharp Wonder 30.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Tomorrownevercomes 8.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Candy’s Wildcat 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sunset Storm 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.