Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
One Magic Philly |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scary Fast Ride |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nokie |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Real Jewel |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cheeky Gal |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Bring Crazy |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Venganza |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Rizzleberry Rose |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Om N Joy |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tropical Rain Day |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gobernadora Ely |
30.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
America’s Mark |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pavel Is Appealing |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hearts Fantasy |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Newport Dreamz |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Tranquility Lake S.) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Super Shine (ARG) |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ascendancy |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Show Card |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yuki (CHI) |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liberal Lady |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grace Period (FR) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lil’ Boom Boom |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloudy Rose |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lunar Ride |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hula Prancer |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Less Is More |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heartfull of Joy |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
We the Free |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grateful My Love |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Generous Portion S.) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
In the Air Tonight |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thirsty Mama |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirsty in Vegas |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Girl Walk |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cayucos |
1.20 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nostri Vires |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Kissed by Fire |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Itzel |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Nails |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rebalation |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Fire |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Summer |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hotitude |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doris Mae |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Big Spin |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Supermazel |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Spin |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Granada Flavor |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tribal Nation |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Upstart Yankee |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vanzzy |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greatheart |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Float On |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Abadon |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Never Seen Before (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Top Gun Classic |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Loterie (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lamporghini |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sneaker |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Paradise Lake |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Raw Ability (IRE) |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Oasis |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Super Enticing |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Platinum Diva |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Alluring |
5.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shin Jidai (GB) |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Queen Maxima |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Trotsky |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smokem If U Gottem |
1.20 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Hit Me Bash |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Ripped |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caught in the Dark |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Jo’s Curlin |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majestic Palisades |
6.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sir Rocket |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Miss Meagher (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Highlands |
20.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Esprit Enchante |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baltic Fire |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hannah Buckle (IRE) |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ketonia (FR) |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ima Joker |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tahini |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiaraqueen (GB) |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Antique Silver |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Watchtower |
3.50 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blevys Tiger |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fast Chaz |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Captain Sparrow |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bowtie Boys |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Next Trick |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Getemdusty |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mendelssohns Music |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aloha Chrome |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Talker |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Doradus |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Formidable Threat |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sharp Wonder |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tomorrownevercomes |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Candy’s Wildcat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Sunset Storm |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.