Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Friday Surprise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Printer’s Alley | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapwrits Temper | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Order | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | America’s Honor | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monte Avi | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bernie Goes Boom | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Munny | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | But Now Am Found | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gotta Guy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Battle Drum (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Authentic Gallop | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cyclone State | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Statesman | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Early Adopter (GB) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Complex Agenda | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Guy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Executive | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Long | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Academy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Atomic Age | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cooper | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wise Decision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Helicity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sherman Fury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Royal Presence | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Filigree | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Your Man Alex | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heymackit’sjack | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Rod | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nano Man | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Tenor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kreesa | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | N Y Anthem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dunedin Causeway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tall Paul | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Confabulation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conniving | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shakin the Belle | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theregoesmymiracle | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forced Errors | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yingle Bells | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torpedo Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Casona | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Luke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Accretive | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Federal Judge | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Light Man | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pro Oxidant | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean’s Reserve | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Market Street | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Gunner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scoot Daddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Promises | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brindi (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tam I Am | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Black Dog | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Found Grace | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laurice | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Sands | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat Chat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Me to Paris | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mitoleta | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yesterday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vespera | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Panache | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Theresasilverlinin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nikitis | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Heat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zadorsky | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Time | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Impression | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reliable Lady | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Enchanted | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crushed Ice | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Capricious Outcome | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Into This | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucas’s Mischief | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Well Suited | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Moon | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guns Loaded | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run of the House | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capo Luca | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Favorite Son | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Got Game | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Makes Sense | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ripped | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Montana Cafe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Math Tutor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McCullough | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laurel Valley | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unleash the Power | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Samburu (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrage | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Right | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McCullough | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Captain | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victors Valiant | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Own the Field | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Summer Cause | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brightwork | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miuccia | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Temper | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Sharp | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmelina | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Evening | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belle’s Blue Bell | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Moscato | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pacific Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Spinaway S.) – Spinaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immersive | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | The Queens M G | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sherbini | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Immersive | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reliable Source | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salted | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pondering | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strong State | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quietside | 3.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bellacose | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slang | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Purple | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | War Like Goddess | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eternal Hope (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McKulick (GB) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parnac (FR) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Millie Girl | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Idea Generation (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Verbier (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amanda’s Folly | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Neecie Marie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Mehana (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Strapped | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devilsgotacause | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kick a Buck | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over and Ollie | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miztertonic | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collect From Ike | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Kahala | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Country | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Front Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Heathguard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Solo Empire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Paddock Pastor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Road Soda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jhirsch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Palace View (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.