Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Macho Music |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neshume |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Win With Faith |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Helicon |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Summerfield |
5.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whisky Reserve |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Always a Gentleman |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bohemian Style |
8.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Valiant Melody |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Mango Banilejo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Beach Ready |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boston Rose (IRE) |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
C. S. Vivace |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oro Oro |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Ballad |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Slender Slipper |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saucy Six |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bivol |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kaliman |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sultan the Great |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boy o’ Boy |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Red Abarrio |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Ruddy Ben |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cove Star |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vinicio |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Insolent |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun’s Choice |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rags Special |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Go Charlie Go |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Max Forward Speed |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Parakeet (IRE) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
War Beat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cashier Check |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reminder |
1.80 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uno Tiger |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sociallongdistance |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Private Thoughts |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Manhattan Boy |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roar Ready |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Itza Boss |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zaddy |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ripton’s Music |
1.80 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Most Handsome |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Riding a Dream |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cajun Venom |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mega Don |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Back Em Up |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Las Olas |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Changeordersonny |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lookinassah |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Candy Street |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Black Seal |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Daniel |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chacharero |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Le Mistral |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Le Touche |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hello Hello Hello |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Cantera (IRE) |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zo Zucchera |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shedoo Kitten |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prayed for Girl |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gulfstream Mary D |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Smart Lisa |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whirlawar |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mi Triguena |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Puckered |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Defended |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Plankton |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Field of Blossoms |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marvelous Lady |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chilling Factor |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Puckered |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
India Pilaga (ARG) |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Upstreet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Spettro |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bryce Canyon |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Night Jumper |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Globes |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gentleman Gerry |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coach Abernathy |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bringer of Rain |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Acamar |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sting Music |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Shot Fired |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rapscallion |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dixie Preach |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fight Til Dawn |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Titan |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starship Magellan |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Go Santi |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Ocala Rocket |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.