Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bad Hombre | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Dooly | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sidney’s Bid | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thename of Thegame | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Henry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sette Stelle | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sometimes I Do | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mat Matters | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carry Grant | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toady Hopper | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Pass Time | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capitan George | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny From Boston | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Sand Rider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Polterer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Road | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conspiracy Fact | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Must Be Love | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stacks of Silver | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Danny Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Rocknroll | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nohai | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vivy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maria Moon | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hold On | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nomoretanlines | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sandy Girl | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Risk and Regret | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backseat Romance | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Shawtown Girl | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet and Feisty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lucky Flay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alyvia Mavis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Curb | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrow Speed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Zipper | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quistmer | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shellback | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Renewing Vows | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Ramirez | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arrogant Rider | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Return Fire | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inbound | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoya | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nanga Parbat (GB) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scorestosettle | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ship Master | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Al | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Icandothat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Starforce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mungo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tabloid City | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | If I Were You | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Creek | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Musical Design | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Ice | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mavilus | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arijana’s Pearl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Tough | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | American Saint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Bolt | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz D Amazin Lady | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Diz | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Gabrielle | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woke Up a Diva | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky in Love | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Estrellis | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.