Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rnc Cardshark Jones |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Invincible Streak |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katch This Eagle |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Empowered |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Tell Jess |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wb Dashing Brat |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nsm Buddy |
1.40 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eagle Lit |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
P Fifty One |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kandoit |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bleu by U |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sm Southard Cowboy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Two Timin Hero |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Bubb |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jess Apollitical |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Captain Blood |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Heart My Dynasty |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Skalkaho |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pleaseusetheportal |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockin Boots |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stroller Boy |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rowdy Ray |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kanojo |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Control Freak |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eskenforaraise |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Victorian Secret |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Traciana |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classycowtownlady |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Knight Commander |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tin Badge |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart N Intuitive |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap the Brakes |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Secret Blarney |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shut Up Man |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sophie’s Star |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Comforts Jazel |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kantirun |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Got a Name |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mrs. Speaker |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Snuggle Bunny |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
I Am Lowkey |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mc Cougar |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Madethedean’slist |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sangria Sky |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hooked On Dreams |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tap On By |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Killian |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Quiet I’m Not |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
C’Mon Lucky |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Simmering |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shezawildstorm |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s Solid Silver |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Heart’s On Fire |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Esprit Rouge |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sir Eli |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mahomes |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Milton Street |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Franklygreat |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Louie |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chinlee |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sarah’s Boy Blue |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.