Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Pryce | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Both Sides | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burn the Breeze | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | How Bout Dat | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patty’s Having Fun | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miguel’s Belle | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marthamaywhovier | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Numeric | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pola of Trouble | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Rose | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Novellie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In Other Words | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smile Po | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madam Mitole | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Aventina | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Tweet | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sunday | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spaghetti Tree | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Bouquet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shankar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disattached | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swashbuckle | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Wolves | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Copperlite | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice the Kicker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Mar | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maddy R | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jazz N Blues | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rip Riding Away | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Due | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’malwaysthinking | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flatter Me Avery | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chosen Factor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Slew Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rotondo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bubbly Champagne | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Free to Roam | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudoku Terry | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gossiper | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dialithic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonmati | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Holly | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rose View | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theuncapturedlady | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Happy Holiday | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | On the Nile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Saucy Six | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anchises | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taparino | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vino for the Queen | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitby | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broadcaster | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lyla’s Lucky Boy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bump | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Double Play King | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carsown | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Skull | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sovereign of Speed | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Nuts | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camptown Races | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Norfie | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Attitude | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Dove Rules | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breezero | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foggy Note | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tator Made | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prettykeen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Val’s Gal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clay Soldier | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St. Pat’s Day | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For the Thrill | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | For the Thrill | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Rosette | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lace Curtain | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Anthem | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Legacy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pizzicato | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lola Loca | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Siempre Valiente | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.