Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Down to Raise Atoast 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Foose You Fast 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Painted Spit Curl 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jj Meteorite Goes By 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Tt Reddi Shiner 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 First Down Court 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Ana Maria 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Allabout the Tide 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Blood and Class 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Jess a Tree of Aces 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Queen B Cartel 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Iammistert 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tf Im Just Rippin 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Peytons First Eagle 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ivans Elusive Lady 12.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Jess Cheer for Me 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rl Tarzano 0 0-1
1 1 Pipers Pick 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Venus Tlc 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Jewel First Dash 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rl Tarzano 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Freight Train D 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tf Miss Rip Too 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Atom Eve B 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Ebbie Renee 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Threecordsanthetruth 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Black Wallstreet 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Surf Tide 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Buckle Up Blue 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hes Always Up 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Spy On Jess 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Two to Tallulah 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Gray Jam 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Flyin Floozy 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Keep Working 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Le Train 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Louisiana Tah 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Maravilla Stone 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Imflyingbyyou 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Streakin D 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sweet Pea Dash 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Toll Tac Express B 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Courage to Corona 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Jb El Santo Perry 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Get Gone 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fast Dashin Blood 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Fearless Eagle Z 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Leaving Coyame 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Powered by Prayerz 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Mr Blues Jammin 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Five Boy Fast 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Sizzlin Cartel Blue 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tf Jess a Eagle 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Goat Wagon 4.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Da Repo Man 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 All Aboard B 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cantcontainthepower 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Softely Leaving You 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Di Esperanza 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blackjack Tlc 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Mooner Deluxe 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Hes Fire 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Virginias Fast Dash 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Jtf Marshal 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Relentless Bling 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Oh My Fortunes 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ninety Days 4.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Rm Viejo Bergel 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Blood Rose 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Womp On It 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bayou Moon 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Game Cowgirl 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Ultra Cartel 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Ab Sassy Corona 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Jess a Heart of Gold 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Avl Open Flower Jess 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Folly D 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Mg Logans 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.