Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Jus Too Fly |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
8 |
Sky Masterson |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Replevin |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Jus Too Fly |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Max N Fifo |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ky Anansi |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Papa’s Nico Boy |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
6 |
Resistance Futile |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Wrap and Send |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monte Avi |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Correlation |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
11 |
But Now Am Found |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mon Petit Chou |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
She Caught My Eye |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goldcrest |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ribot’s Valentine |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mon Petit Chou |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
My First Love |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Annmarie |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anotherdaygoneby |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Anniversary |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cruise to Catalina |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Evaluation |
1.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nolita |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Duckphat |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shezanarcticqueen |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
First Class Cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Artempus |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Steadfast Resolve |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sandborn |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Call Protection |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
John the Baptist |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hurricane Express (FR) |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Flowers |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fluorescent Bay |
50.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dark Devil |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Street View |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Malibu Moonshine |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shesalittle Edgy |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
It Takes Heart |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hazardous Humor |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tosconova Beauty |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Backed by Gold |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Moonlight |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jackie the Joker |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Filoso |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
T Kraft |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Noble Confessor |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fiddling Felix |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Contrabandist |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Promise |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spurgeon |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Discreet Dancer |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tharhom |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wheelhouse |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ciao Chuck |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vintage Vino |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Inherent Promise |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Right to Vote |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Primed to Go |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Act of Mutiny |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Military Road |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
11 |
Duration |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Commander of Truth |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Prospero (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
10 |
Emerald Forest |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
8 |
Afternoon Heat |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
11 |
Charging Aero |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
12 |
Bustin Shout |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chateau |
1.60 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nottoway |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hatch |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2B |
5 |
Bourbon’s Hope |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
7 |
Daddy Knows |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
6 |
American Gentleman |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
9 |
Ribbons and Medals |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
3 |
Honorary Degree |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Bob John Ray |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skyler’s Starship |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bad Larry |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Merlin’s Moment |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boys Code |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Two’s a Crowd |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Noonzio |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Provision |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dolly’s Bank |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Beta |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Jaa Mode |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (With Anticipation S.) – With Anticipation S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Zulu Kingdom (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tenacious Leader |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Without Caution |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cavallo Bay (GB) |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nudge |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Test Score |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dancing Bear |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Good Long Cry |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Uncaged |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Joey Muscles |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Reach for the Rose |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Creditworthy |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reverend Moon |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer in Erin |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speed Figures |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Call Bob |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Liberte de Bayeux |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Proton Spirit |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zeca Diabo |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ink Lies |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Time and Tide |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.