Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Jus Too Fly 0 0-1
1 8 Sky Masterson 4.50 1 2-1
3 2 Replevin 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Jus Too Fly 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Max N Fifo 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Ky Anansi 30.00 6 11-1
9 9 Papa’s Nico Boy 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Resistance Futile 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Wrap and Send 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Monte Avi 3.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Correlation 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 11 But Now Am Found 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mon Petit Chou 0 0-1
3 3 She Caught My Eye 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Goldcrest 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ribot’s Valentine 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mon Petit Chou 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 My First Love 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Awesome Annmarie 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Anotherdaygoneby 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet Anniversary 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cruise to Catalina 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Evaluation 1.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Nolita 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Duckphat 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Shezanarcticqueen 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 First Class Cat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Artempus 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Steadfast Resolve 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sandborn 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Call Protection 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 John the Baptist 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hurricane Express (FR) 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mr Flowers 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Fluorescent Bay 50.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Dark Devil 1.80 SCRATCH
10 10 Street View 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Malibu Moonshine 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shesalittle Edgy 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 It Takes Heart 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hazardous Humor 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Jackson’s Dixie 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tosconova Beauty 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Backed by Gold 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Golden Moonlight 6.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Jackie the Joker 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Filoso 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 T Kraft 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Noble Confessor 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Fiddling Felix 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Contrabandist 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 American Promise 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Spurgeon 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Discreet Dancer 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Tharhom 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wheelhouse 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ciao Chuck 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Vintage Vino 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Inherent Promise 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Right to Vote 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Primed to Go 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Act of Mutiny 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Military Road 0.80 SCRATCH
1A 11 Duration 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Commander of Truth 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Prospero (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 10 Emerald Forest 4.50 1 2-1
1A 8 Afternoon Heat 1.60 3.4 6-1
9 11 Charging Aero 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 12 Bustin Shout 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Chateau 1.60 4.2 8-1
4 4 Nottoway 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Hatch 4.00 4.7 9-1
2B 5 Bourbon’s Hope 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 7 Daddy Knows 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 6 American Gentleman 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 9 Ribbons and Medals 30.00 SCRATCH
2 3 Honorary Degree 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bob John Ray 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Skyler’s Starship 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Bad Larry 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Merlin’s Moment 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Boys Code 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Two’s a Crowd 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Noonzio 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Provision 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Dolly’s Bank 30.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Beta 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Jaa Mode 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (With Anticipation S.) – With Anticipation S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tenacious Leader 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Without Caution 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Cavallo Bay (GB) 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Nudge 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Test Score 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Dancing Bear 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Good Long Cry 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Uncaged 1.20 SCRATCH
11 11 Joey Muscles 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reach for the Rose 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Creditworthy 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Reverend Moon 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Summer in Erin 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Speed Figures 5.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Call Bob 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Liberte de Bayeux 15.00 4 7-1
1 1 Proton Spirit 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Zeca Diabo 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ink Lies 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Time and Tide 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.