Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Bey | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Russian Hammer | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morales Little Kid | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Tone C | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ray’s Gone Astray | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wemby | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devine Flameaway | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Sunset | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Diamonds | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Connected | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Killargue’s Girl | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elevenmonthslater | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Up for It | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reckless Kelly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On Another Level | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Hot Mess | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Dutchess | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surprisingly Sweet | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicky Jolene | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Buy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Baby | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Forest Fuel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doin’ittherightway | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walk Away Joe | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s in Charge | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shivaree | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angelus Warrior | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B B Bad | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Financial District | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wired In | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rum Tum Tugger | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Image | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sam Stormy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Country Charlie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Licorice | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Messa | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aspiring Comedian | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Last Dream | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cesnola | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Earl of Dassel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mr Ramirez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Durante | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Dume | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Gaston | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Poppy | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grunt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Unity | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skipperini | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Peninsula | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petit Fils (FR) | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Von Hoff | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Last Scip | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battalion | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mt Suribachi | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Alpha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flat Lucky | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jarlian | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Welling | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steele Money | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zipper Zapper | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Thirty Five | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.