Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Michael G. Walsh Novice S.) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hidden Path 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hold Hard (IRE) 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Evie’s Prince 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Westerland (GB) 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lightning Rod 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Little Trilby (GB) 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Recoup (GB) 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Kitten Around 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sun Thunder 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Reserve Currency 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Fromanothamutha 4.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Seeking Unity 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 General Banker 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Eliminate 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Awesome City 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Ego 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Concorde Spirit 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Big Rich 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Get a Job 1.60 3.8 7-1
7 7 Executive Move 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Stormy’s Dreaming 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Isomarshall 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Baricci 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cees Get Degrees 0 0-1
2 1 Cees Get Degrees 3.50 1 2-1
1A 11 Cold as Hell 4.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Poppy’s Pride 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Secret Rules 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Kingdom 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Papa Rocket 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 2 Kunshan Bridge 4.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 M B’s Munning 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Giroovin 8.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Dangerous Ride 12.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Natural Harbor 5.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Koru 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 My Life Story 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 English Castle 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Janssen 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Outtawaterbury 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Temple Creed 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Caesar’s Ghost 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Makeyourmoment 8.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Check Cleared 6.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Disco Dancer 30.00 11.9 23-1
12 12 Fluorescent Bay 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Albedo 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Film Academy 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Burn Rubber 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Feline Treasure 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Triple Word Score 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss C Banker 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 The Sugars 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Episode 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Linda’s Jewel 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 My Vanilla 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Selectively Sweet 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Graceful Warrior 8.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Shesinamood 10.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Pretty Liza 8.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Honor Her 10.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Thankfully 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Teller to Win 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Mitoleta 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gaga’s Hamsome 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Blue Eyed Scout 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Another Cleeshay 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cousin Kristi 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Athena Beach 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 True Empress 15.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bernietakescharge 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Scoring Chance 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Bank On Anna 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Queens Masterpiece 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Missing Fortune 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sue Ellen Mishkin 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Maggie T 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (P. G. Johnson S.) – P. G. Johnson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Totally Justified 0 0-1
6 6 Lemonpeppasteppa 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Second Chance 20.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Virgin Colada 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 She’s Our Tiz 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Reining Flowers 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Totally Justified 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Merry and Bright 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lady Orient 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Good Conduct 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fortuna Mia 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Splashy 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Better Be Smart 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Majulu 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Boston Strong Mama 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Justheart 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Laurana 3.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Superstarsusan 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 War Terminatrix 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Good Mission 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dell Arte 50.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Repeat After Me 20.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Artistic Success 12.00 10.6 20-1
2 2 Dreaming of Carli 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Purest Performance 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Vision of Anna 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.