Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Michael G. Walsh Novice S.) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hidden Path |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hold Hard (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Evie’s Prince |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Westerland (GB) |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lightning Rod |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Trilby (GB) |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Recoup (GB) |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kitten Around |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sun Thunder |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reserve Currency |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fromanothamutha |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seeking Unity |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
General Banker |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eliminate |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesome City |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Big Ego |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Concorde Spirit |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Rich |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Get a Job |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Executive Move |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stormy’s Dreaming |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Isomarshall |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baricci |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cees Get Degrees |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cees Get Degrees |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
11 |
Cold as Hell |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Poppy’s Pride |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Rules |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kingdom |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Papa Rocket |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
2 |
Kunshan Bridge |
4.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
M B’s Munning |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Giroovin |
8.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dangerous Ride |
12.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Natural Harbor |
5.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Koru |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Life Story |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
English Castle |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Janssen |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outtawaterbury |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Temple Creed |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caesar’s Ghost |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Makeyourmoment |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Check Cleared |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Disco Dancer |
30.00 |
11.9 |
23-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fluorescent Bay |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Albedo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Film Academy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Burn Rubber |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Feline Treasure |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Triple Word Score |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Miss C Banker |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Sugars |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Episode |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Linda’s Jewel |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Vanilla |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Selectively Sweet |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Graceful Warrior |
8.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shesinamood |
10.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pretty Liza |
8.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honor Her |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
11 |
11 |
Thankfully |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Teller to Win |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Mitoleta |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Gaga’s Hamsome |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Blue Eyed Scout |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Another Cleeshay |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cousin Kristi |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Athena Beach |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Empress |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bernietakescharge |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scoring Chance |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bank On Anna |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Queens Masterpiece |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Missing Fortune |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sue Ellen Mishkin |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Maggie T |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (P. G. Johnson S.) – P. G. Johnson S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Totally Justified |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lemonpeppasteppa |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Second Chance |
20.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Virgin Colada |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Our Tiz |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reining Flowers |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Totally Justified |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Merry and Bright |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Orient |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Conduct |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Fortuna Mia |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Splashy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Better Be Smart |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Majulu |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boston Strong Mama |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Justheart |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Laurana |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
13 |
13 |
Superstarsusan |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
War Terminatrix |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Good Mission |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dell Arte |
50.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Repeat After Me |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Artistic Success |
12.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dreaming of Carli |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Purest Performance |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Vision of Anna |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.