Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Showers | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Power Connection | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rio Del Sol | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Showers | 0.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Bar | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worth Looking | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Yes He Can | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarty Nose | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slew’s Joy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marks Hip | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C’Mon Man | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worth Looking | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Halo | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call My Banker | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexis S | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vicente’s Shadow | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red On Sunday | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Capital Outlay | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzing Forest | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afternoon Nap | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drive for Show | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Scent | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Rocket | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Make It a Large | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Who Is Pavel | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s My Flame | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracie’s Big Day | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Tammo | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stanford Holiday | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skylight Ride | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoe’s Candy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empress Lorrayne | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Little Cynn | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Bride | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Impeachalot | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double Jab | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Supernal | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zip Om | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Donnie the Chiro | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McGregor Lake | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Galland de Besos | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Belly Up | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Royalty | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chick’s Dig It | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Moon Ice | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Petesoldfashioned | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Stay On the Fence | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Perfect in Gray | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Beau Soleil | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | We’ll Do It Live | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ur in Trouble | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose of Jericho | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Princess Is Olivia | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anna’s Wish | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Vienna | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Sailing | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheeky Gal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Ace Ace Baby | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Handy Dandy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sydney Street (GB) | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Catcher | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Jostar | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly the Sky | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanzzy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Maker | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reckless Spirit | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rancho Bernardo H.) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Azteca | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Regret | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anywho | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chismosa | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Wahine | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vitalera (CHI) | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ascendancy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean King | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legitimate Target (GB) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Wins | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Choochies | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quintecents | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nuclear | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Juanito | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Maximus | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mysterious Husband | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Travail | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.