Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Deetz |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mama Maritza N |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Onemorsilverdollar |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mind Shift Game |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kurutu |
6.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bucchini |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tapit’s Shady Lady |
4.50 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tappuccino |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bryn’s Victory |
12.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mor Dreams |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hot Dream |
5.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Unequivocally |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Papeete |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Woke Up Quick |
1.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Imapeppa |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Im Still Brave |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Viva Victory |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Renege |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leroy Brown |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Party Hardy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Three Wells |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Country Slew |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
J Squared |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always True |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Magical Song |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Serendipity |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Here’s the Kicker |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormy Mitole |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tinta Roja |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smart Beauty |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Possession |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lionza |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Princess Miss Emil |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pasajera |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Andie One |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Belleshazza |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grandma’s Pudding |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Velocissima |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cabernet |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noble Dreamer |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Monique |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Talkin Tipsy |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fulminate |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Talkin Tipsy |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Admiral Hopper |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Founder’s Day |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bahamian Moon |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scootaloo |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Party Shaker |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
American of Course |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tator Made |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Speight’spercomete |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wicked Genius |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honesto |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Artemus Bridge |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Initforthelove |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
English Painter |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz a Prince |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rhum Saint Esprit |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Louie the Sun King |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
South America |
20.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Richy |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smokin Cloud |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catch a Tiger |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zio Lorenzo |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jigsaw |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Feast |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Rouki |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Black Belt Barbie |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lightning Dust |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bigbouquetofroses |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Just Mercy |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twizzle |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bonnie Sandra |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emona Rossa |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Fortune Cookie |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.