Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cardinal Spirit 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 It’s a Factor 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Terry’s Service 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Goodbye Now 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Daddygaveittome 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Deeply Hidden 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Harry’s Onthefly 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cane Creek Road 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Tigerhon (FR) 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Rexford 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Standing O 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sigiloso 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Please Focus 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Coulthard (IRE) 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Magnify 0 0-1
Magnify 0 0-1
Canada Gate 0 0-1
6 6 Canada Gate 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Abitmischievous 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Concord Bridge 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Semper Invictus 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Magnify 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Prince of Power 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sophistry 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Flamengo’s Queen (IRE) 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Tequilaandtherapy 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Gigi’s Girl 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Kitty Marren 15.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Twirling Light 2.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Celtica 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tiger of the Sea 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lucky Nea 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 98 Gracie’s Big Day 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gypsy Lynn 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Morning Addiction 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sweet Tempest 12.00 1.9 3-1
10 9 Chollima 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Why Behave 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Awesome Taylor 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sugar Sugar 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Real Me 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dance Kid 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 98 Rock N Roll Song 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Divin Propos (FR) 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Offlee Naughty 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Calm Sea 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Old Pal 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dean Martini 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Fearless Soldier 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Living Life 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 City Exile (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hondo Crouch 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Shot of Courage 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Demotivate 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mischelof (CHI) 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Telos 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Mucino 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rhino 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Get Kraken 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Circleofchampions 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Jack Kerouac 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Bert’s Prospect 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Oobubbakakayo 30.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Foxtrot Harry 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bear Hunt 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Jimmy’s Wild Boy 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Harbor Thunder 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.