Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Protective |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
10 |
Elko County |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Il Siciliano |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Accidental Bid |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
2 |
The Jackal |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
7 |
Artempus |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Vintage Vino |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
8 |
De La Cruz |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
Factor Analysis |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Take Your Seats (IRE) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sacrosanct |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chasing Colton |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Joker On Fire |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bold Fortune |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sacrosanct |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brink |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Toga Life |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scheduling Dude |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Powmissio |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skytown |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Licorice |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (John’s Call S.) – John’s Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Six Minus |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Andthewinneris |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cathkin Peak (IRE) |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Six Minus |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curbstone |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Winning Spirit (GER) |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foreign Relations |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Kuchar |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Costa Terra |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Dai Vernon |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Accidental Hero |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
5 |
Six Percent |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Optic Way |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
7 |
Gut Feeling |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Goldini |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lord Captain |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Roman Empire |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
9 |
Daddy Knows |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Good Juju |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Curlin’s Wisdom |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
More Vino |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ice Road |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beary Funny |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barrell Craft |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dune Road |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Assertive Attitude |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Express |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whitby |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Jungfrau |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ranger Blue |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Paynter’s Prodigy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bonne Chance |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Manny Penny |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cha Cha Wren |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heavenly Light |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lookin to Rock |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
Open Flame |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Playful Lass |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mangetsu |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cha Cha Wren |
3.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speed and Beauty |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silent Sandy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Carae |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bryant and Cooper |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Grace and Grit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Marvelous Madison |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
National Archive |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Runnin’ Ray |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
St Andrews |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Complete Agenda |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lost in Rome |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magnolia Midnight |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
It’s Viper |
6.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Suerte |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Trouble |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
O P Firecracker |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Twisted Filigree |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Li’l Lang |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
13 |
14 |
On the Hill |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
10 |
Big Prankster |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
11 |
Empire Sky |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Limit Up |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1A |
7 |
Graywing |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
12 |
Volkert |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
8 |
Heymackit’sjack |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
9 |
Ripe for Mischief |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
Scaramanga |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Street Rod |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Nano Man |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Your Man Alex |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Strengthnguidance |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
15 |
Tapwrits Temper |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
13 |
14 |
King’s Leap |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sweet Fantasy |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
I’m Solo N in Love |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Reteko |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1A |
13 |
Extraordinary One (GB) |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Pacific Highway |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mythical Man |
2.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
7 |
Salvation |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
11 |
10 |
Dignified Response |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Vamonos Vamonos |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Shoot the Waves |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
America’s Honor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
12 |
Bright Angel (IRE) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.