Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lazaretto | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesomebrotherbill | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Disco Devil | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rejected Again | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Ready | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | If We Get Lucky | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hide the Ransom | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tan Pam | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Magic | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Opportunistic | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Upstart | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Girl’s No Joke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Go Chloe Go | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Udidn’tpay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Serenade | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surfboard | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hermoso Hombre | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bointheback | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kane | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Bird Bordo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Code Enforcer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Cinnamon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Gal | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noisy On the Bay | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ode to Edie | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Lake | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cash On First | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sister Nell | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Louella Street | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Canny Land | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Sexy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kobe’s Smile | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’sallatwitter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cisco Kid | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Squad | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Can Do Magic | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evasive Moves | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Auden | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harrison C | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tabloid | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Caesarea | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whoosh | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Merging Traffic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jsk Crownprince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Come About | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Tire Man | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play the Gray | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curious Soul | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Bob | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twenty One Kid | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arch Competitor | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Trader | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Burning Embers | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battalia | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking the Dream | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabra Chica | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decoupage | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leviosa | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Head | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Akna | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gladriel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Uptown Girl | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause I Said | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiant Majesty | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unadulterated | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matty Bo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snappy Ride | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boss Like Beth | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Cache | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collect Dattt | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Act | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ahsad | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trending Up | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Hermano | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dad’s On a Roll | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super John | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elvirus | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart and Fast | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Group | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holdtheflight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.