Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buriana | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Rational Theory | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Complex Gal | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Briland | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Vanilla Sundae | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Claire’s Charm | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Cream Boat | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jitterbug | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Past Tense | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appellate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Taco Lady | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Hebrides | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shade of Pale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Quite Continental | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Addagirl Addie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Evan Shipman H.) – Evan Shipman H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Frenzy | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Maker’s Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donegal Surges | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheriff Bianco | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bank Frenzy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whittington Park | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cicciobello | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Raging | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inflation Nation (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriarchal | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forward Move | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Tommy Two Socks | 5.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solo’s Fury | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buckortwo | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Terminator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kreesa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Schnittker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Noble Huntsman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Musical Maestro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Playground Legend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Irish Tenor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Korrongo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Squire Creek | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floki’s Flight | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nelson Avenue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trident Hit | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Didinger | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Synthesis | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Milton the Monster | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Corri Felice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of Esther | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lu’s Redemption | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hayes Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’ Hayadoin | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah Dancer | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Watch Over Me | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Laoban | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Purest Performance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tone of Silence | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dubawi Wowie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Holder Close | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starlight Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She Is All Busines | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Superstarsusan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Bolton Landing S.) – Bolton Landing S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icona Mama | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Viggiedal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kimchi Cat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Obliging | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Me Governor | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abientot | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fortuna Mia | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icona Mama | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Orient | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dreamgirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yesterday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Eriu (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Albedo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waflr | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Berning Beauty | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neptune Beach | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barron’s Bounce | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slow Down Big Andy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senegal | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rough Guy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz the Prince | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kilkerran | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stanley Rough | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Burn Rubber | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Janssen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Super Chief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Montebello | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Playingwithmatches | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Thank You Jon | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | South Street | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Magia Nera | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Plate Special | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Uncle Marty | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Philharmonic | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Sinful Dancer | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Steady Progress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Better Humor Me | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tosconova Beauty | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Enfuega | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foxy Cara | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newsdley | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Play | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mel’s Baby Sister | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Avenue | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Landbiscuit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Ready | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Commandperformance | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Colloquy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rocco Strong | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Skylander | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yono | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiberius Mercurius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ever Dangerous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Front Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Harrow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | American Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ice Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Suerte | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marwad (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.