Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 April Vintage 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Ang N Ash 2.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Feisty Mitole 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Smiling for Nana 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Putt for Dough 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lady Mary Lou 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Soul of Midnight 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nauvoo 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mobou 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Keen Heir 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Elector 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Taishan 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Red Cross Knight 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Giovinazzo 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hula Candy 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Big Bet Jafinsafa 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 King Apollo 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Egon 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Hotrocket (IRE) 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Usha 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Oveta’s Hobby 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mancuso 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mac and Cheese 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Wren 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Tenma 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Special Look 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ivan the Great 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Legitimate 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Sabertooth 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Earned Not Given 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Imaginary Lover 30.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Friendly Confines 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Snowdonia 12.00 4 7-1
8 8 Uncle Dude 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tab Walker 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sawtooth Bow 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pali Kitten 0 0-1
8 7 Pali Kitten 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 Cloudy Women 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Unbreakable Trust 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Road to Eldorado 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Toppers At Seaside 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Tiger Strength 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 98 Lookin for Curly 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Power Grab 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cast Member 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Llorona 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Indy’s Star 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sixteen Arches (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Gypsy Woman (IRE) 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 6 Irish Patsy 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Shocking Grey 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 98 Johanny 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mirahmadi 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Wild Recruit 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Eisenhower 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Stick Shift 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Arabian Flirt 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Shofner 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wayne the Brain 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 98 Fame 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Abitmischievous 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Solana Beach S.) – Solana Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stay and Scam 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sneaker 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Moment’s Pleasure 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Cornelia Fort 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Rose Maddox 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Worthy of Magic 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Ultimate Hy 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Safa 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Court Snort 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Abhita 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Uncontrollable 12.00 9 17-1
1 1 Tom’s Regret 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.