Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mucho Magnifico 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Monday Morning 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Thefrontiersman 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Legs Like Gizmo 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Moddassah 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 North Warden 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Demba 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Arrakasta Izan 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bode’s Tipsy 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hemlo Gold 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Penner Ash (IRE) 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gran Spirited 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Noahs Ark 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Jim’s Hope 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Uptown Lights 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Keep Grinding 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Day Tripper 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Quiet Sunday 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ready Shakespeare 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Speedy Pal 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Fairway to Heaven 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Dream Jereem 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Coherence 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Pet Sounds 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Uncaptured Moment 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Hatmaker Gizmo 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Fast and Ready 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Canadian Avro 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sapphire Connect 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 McGill 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Miss Demanding 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Snatched 20.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Scat Girl 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Spun Around 12.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Starry Night 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Yorkton Rose 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ready to Battle 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Crimson Sea 4.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Thread 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bedtime 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marksman Queen (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Blueberry Fields 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Spansive 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Wickenheiser 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Devil’s Bit 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Literate 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Taquanyah 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Talbeyah (IRE) 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Comanche Country (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Bet365 Soaring Free S.) – Bet365 Soaring Free S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mensa 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cairo Caper 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Your Valentino 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Coolcollected 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Ylivoimainen 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Test Score 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Homie 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Dream On 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Shadow Factor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Bold Venture S.) – Bold Venture S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Patches O’Houlihan 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Playmea Tune 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ironstone 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 First Empire 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Capture the Lion 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Border Town 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bet365 King Edward S.) – Bet365 King Edward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Like the King 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 War Bomber (IRE) 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) 0.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Cruden Bay 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kaukokaipuu 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Secret Reserve 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Wicked Django 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Ironstone 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Never Surprised 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lord of War 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ron’s Gizmo 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Clear Destination 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Mr. Who 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Fighter in the Win 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Dun Drum 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Cool Kiss 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Maakwa 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Classic Mo Town 8.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Last Dawn 20.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Rapid Test 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Catch A Glimpse S.) – Catch A Glimpse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bullet 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Salt 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ready for Candy 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shotgun Wedding 15.00 3.2 6-1
13 13 Carlisle Bay 15.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Bound to Be True 30.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Ambitious Lass 30.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Crystal Visions 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Will Reign 4.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Shezafunkydrummer 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Misty Point 30.00 10.8 20-1
12 12 Warming 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shifty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (King’s Plate S.) – King’s Plate S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Essex Serpent 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 My Boy Prince 1.40 1.3 2-1
2 2 Rafaroo 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Friendly Ghost 30.00 5.6 10-1
12 12 No More Options 30.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Midnight Mascot 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jokestar 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Caitlinhergrtness 12.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Vitality 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Pierre 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Roar of the Crowd 50.00 9 17-1
9 9 Thor’s Cause 50.00 10 19-1
10 10 Bedard 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elusive Knight 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Journeyman 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Twowaycrossing 10.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Greystone 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Pat’ssewingmachine 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Flawless Ruler 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Ghostly Spitfire 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Catholic Jackie 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Meyer 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lil Bit Gangsta 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Confusing 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zeena Swift 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Spectacular Force 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Noyzee Girl 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Silent Passion 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Ryo Amazing 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 All for Honor 20.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Scat Humor 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Our Stella 20.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Scored 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Something Borrowed 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Arrakasta Istoria 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Ondine Lady 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.