Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Miss | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exhale | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Making Bread | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Map to the Moon | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet and Feisty | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Effort | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Rhapsody | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romance by Chance | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bad Hombre | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sidney’s Bid | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeker | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Henry | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sette Stelle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Authentic Kingdom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crabcakes N Beer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Omaha | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whizbang | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soleil Volant | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Antonio | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quahog Republic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dude Affright | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aeonian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Thunder | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Batter Up | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tuff Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hot Stott | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Swiftlet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Town | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chocolate Shake | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jester’s Song | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sainthoodforbrian | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paco the Taco Man | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Semper Fidelis | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stacks of Silver | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Court Contender | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Heart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Built Different | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louise Brooks | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Vingativa | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Bush | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liplock | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ayeartoremember | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Water Witch | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Monster | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Principessa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Respectfully | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lantern’s Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Six the Hard Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pachelbel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Breeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Lord | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cattivo Ragazzo | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Zipper | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gambe Forte | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Az Sharp | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heard On Thestreet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hendrickson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Charlie | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Dooly | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Photo Copy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Tiger | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Licorice | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aloha Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crazy Odds | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Messa | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Andres | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battuta d’Oro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Man to See | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Integrated | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Arrogant Rider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two Thirty Five | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helms Deep | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spectrier | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baton | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steele Money | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipper Zapper | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Twins Sneakers | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omerta Code | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.