Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conditional 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hey Luigi 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Boston Bay 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Cheap Speed 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Acadia 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Stolzer Onkel 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Firebolt 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bold Reload 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Arashi 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Colonel Mustard 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Musical Spell 3.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Kinetic Stone 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Town’s Warrior 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Valley Victory 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Guns n’ Rojas 12.00 9 17-1
2 2 Prince of Thieves 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Summer Snow 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Silent Guroo 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Tempora 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 American Gamble 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Demurely 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Mi Tormenta 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sugar Is Golden 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forest Woodsman 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Joeybones 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Uncle’s the Banker 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Rock It Red 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Screen Legend 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Squeezethesharman 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Question Mark 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tropical Getaway 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moment of Peace 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Red Ensign 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Agile Dancer 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Star Scholar 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Profesorridesagain 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Trebuchet 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Snookered 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Today 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Basketball Jones 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 He Shoots He Wins 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Exchange Day 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Quarky 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Blackteca 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Warp Ride 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tricky Magician 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ghoul (BRZ) 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sunspear 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Lenny K 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Spite Store 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Banker’s Hours 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cotton 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Red River Rebel 3.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Jazz Hands 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Quite Ready 10.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Rat Portage 10.00 3.4 7-1
12 12 Aim for the Sky 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Truebelieve 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Forester’s Fortune 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Moon Landing 15.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Galvaston 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Air Combat 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Light the Lamp 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Society’s Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hurricane Gizmo 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mrs. Hot Shot 12.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Now You See Me 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Forever Danish 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Spirit O’Tipperary 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rumours Fly 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Birch Bark 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gunnawin 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Cee’nceesgreytness 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 High Treason 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Zodiac Beach 15.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 Few Regrets 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Forest Vixen 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fedaline 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Makayla 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 More Gelato 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.